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A Visible Transformation of Pakistan’s Automobile Industry

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The global automobile industry is undergoing a fundamental shift, and electric vehicles are unmistakably at the heart of this transformation. Rising fossil fuel prices, growing environmental concerns, and rapid technological advances are pushing countries to rethink how people move. The age of internal combustion engines is slowly giving way to electric mobility—and this change is no longer theoretical; it is already happening.

China has emerged as the undisputed global leader in electric vehicles. Its manufacturers dominate international markets through a rare combination of affordability, quality, and scale. While the Western world has attempted to slow China’s rise and limit its influence, the competitive advantage remains firmly in China’s favor. In the EV segment, no country currently matches Chinese automakers in pricing, supply-chain depth, or technological maturity.

Pakistan, as part of the global economic system, cannot remain isolated from these changes. Its automobile industry is visibly and rapidly transforming, shifting away from traditional fuel-based vehicles toward electric alternatives. Over the past few years, EVs have moved from novelty to serious market contenders, with their presence becoming increasingly noticeable on Pakistani roads.

This transition is not merely aspirational—it is necessary. Pakistan does not produce oil and remains heavily dependent on imported fuel, a vulnerability that has become increasingly costly in today’s fragile economic environment. Add to this the worsening air pollution in major cities and the environmental costs of fossil fuel consumption, and the case for electric mobility becomes unavoidable. For Pakistan, EVs represent not just a technological upgrade but a strategic economic and environmental imperative.

Alongside this technological shift, Pakistan’s automobile industry itself has been undergoing a quieter but equally significant transformation. The market has gradually moved away from being producer-controlled toward one shaped more decisively by consumer choice. Today’s buyer is better informed, more demanding, and far less willing to accept limited options or outdated technology.

The automobile sector now contributes nearly 7 percent to Pakistan’s GDP and provides employment to over 6.8 million people, making it one of the country’s most dynamic industries. It has also become a crucial source of jobs for the youth, particularly as new technologies and market entrants expand the scope of the sector.

Government policy has played a role in accelerating change. Incentives for electric vehicles, including tax relief and lower registration fees, reflect an official ambition to convert 30 percent of vehicles to electric by 2030. At the same time, localization efforts by established players such as Indus Motor Company and Pak Suzuki are strengthening domestic supply chains and reducing reliance on imports. The entry of new brands—Volkswagen, Skoda, Haval, and others—has further intensified competition, offering consumers greater choice and pushing manufacturers toward innovation.

Market data from 2025 underscores this momentum. Car sales rose sharply, with October witnessing a 40 percent year-on-year increase. Passenger vehicles led the surge, while commercial vehicles posted even stronger growth. Truck and bus production expanded rapidly, reflecting broader economic activity and infrastructure development. Popular models such as the Suzuki Alto and Toyota Corolla continued to dominate sales, while automatic transmissions and fuel-efficient designs gained preference among consumers.

These trends are reinforced by improving economic conditions. Lower interest rates have made vehicle financing more accessible, boosting buyer confidence and expanding demand. As financing options improve and disposable incomes rise, personal mobility continues to attract new segments of consumers.

Another striking feature of today’s auto market is the growing diversity of available vehicles. Increased imports—both new and used—have widened consumer choice across price brackets. At the same time, local assemblers are scaling up production, ensuring that domestic manufacturing remains competitive. This balance between imports and local production is reshaping supply dynamics and giving buyers more negotiating power than ever before.

Policy reform is further redefining the sector. The government’s five-year tariff reform plan, aligned with the Federal Budget 2025–26, signals a shift away from strict import substitution toward a more open and competitive framework. Simplified tariff structures, gradual reductions in duties, and the phased removal of surcharges on used vehicle imports are intended to make the market more transparent and efficient over time. A new Auto Industry Policy for 2026–31 is also in the pipeline, promising greater competition and broader market access.

Prices, however, remain a concern. Strong demand, currency fluctuations, supply-chain pressures, and import costs have driven vehicle prices upward in recent years. While tariff reforms may ease cost pressures in the long run, immediate price relief is unlikely as the market continues to adjust.

Electric vehicles, though still a small share of total sales, are steadily gaining ground. Pakistan’s Electric Vehicles Policy (2020–25) has laid the foundation by offering incentives for EV imports and local manufacturing of components. Beyond cars, electric rickshaws and motorcycles are emerging as practical solutions for urban transport, signaling a gradual but meaningful shift in mobility patterns.

Looking ahead, Pakistan’s automobile industry appears poised for sustained growth. Continued policy reform, expanding consumer demand, technological advancement, and a gradual move toward electric mobility are shaping a more competitive and consumer-driven market. The sector is also likely to develop an export orientation, leveraging local manufacturing capabilities and supply-chain efficiencies.

What stands out most in this transformation is the changing role of the consumer. The Pakistani buyer is no longer passive. Better informed and increasingly discerning, consumers are shaping the industry’s direction through their preferences for efficiency, technology, and value for money.

This shift, perhaps more than any policy or technology, is redefining the future of Pakistan’s automobile industry.

Prof. Zamir Ahmed Awan
Prof. Zamir Ahmed Awan
Prof. Engr. Zamir Ahmed Awan, Founding Chair GSRRA, Sinologist, Diplomat, Editor, Analyst, Advisor, Consultant, Researcher at Global South Economic and Trade Cooperation Research Center, and Non-Resident Fellow of CCG

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