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Ukraine War: Are European Allies Prolonging the Conflict?

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In the midst of escalating tensions in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, a pressing question arises: Is Europe truly encouraging Ukraine to continue fighting, or is it simply bolstering defenses against ongoing Russian aggression? Recent reports highlight pledges from the UK, France, and other allies to support Ukraine both before and after any potential peace deal. But with Russian President Vladimir Putin issuing defiant threats and intensifying attacks, some critics argue that European aid might be fueling a longer war rather than hastening peace.

Support for Defense or Fuel for Conflict?

European leaders have repeatedly emphasized their readiness to back Ukraine militarily and economically, framing it as essential for securing a fair peace. According to a BBC report, UK Defence Secretary John Healey, speaking from Kyiv, assured that allies would “help make the skies safe, to make the seas safe, and to secure the land” post-peace deal. This comes on the heels of the UK’s decision to redirect £1 billion ($1.24 billion) in seized Russian assets into military aid for Ukraine—a move Healey described as returning “Putin’s dirty money with interest.”

France’s President Emmanuel Macron is set to host a high-level meeting in Paris with the “Coalition of the Willing,” a group of Ukraine’s allies focused on enforcing any future agreement. Sources from Macron’s office indicate plans for security guarantees, including training Ukraine’s army and potentially deploying European troops to deter Russian aggression after a ceasefire. However, details remain vague, with Healey refusing to elaborate to avoid tipping off Putin.

On the surface, this appears as robust solidarity against Russia’s invasion, which began in February 2022. Yet, skeptics question whether such commitments are pushing Ukraine away from negotiations. Putin’s recent statements from China, where he vowed to resolve issues “militarily” if talks fail, underscore Russia’s maximalist demands, including ending alleged discrimination against ethnic Russians in Ukraine. If Europe is arming Ukraine heavily, is it inadvertently prolonging the war by emboldening Kyiv to reject compromises?

Are Europe and the US Drifting Apart on Ukraine Strategy?

Adding complexity, there’s growing chatter about transatlantic divides. An Al Jazeera piece describes the situation as “all theatre,” suggesting Europe views Russia’s actions through a stricter security lens, while the US under President Donald Trump engages directly with Putin. Trump, who hosted Putin in Alaska last month, has been praised by Healey for bringing Russia to the table but criticized for a “warm welcome” amid stalled talks. Putin has mocked the idea of meeting Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, proposing instead that Zelensky visit Moscow—an offer swiftly dismissed by Ukraine.

European Union leaders, including the bloc’s top diplomat, have warned against forcing Ukraine into territorial concessions, labeling it a “trap” set by Putin. Meanwhile, Germany and France are advocating for secondary sanctions on Russia to curb third-country support for Moscow’s war efforts. This push for escalation in sanctions and aid—coupled with Europe’s opposition to Russian-occupied territories remaining under Kremlin control—could be seen as hardening Ukraine’s stance, potentially delaying a ceasefire.

From a pro-Russian perspective, often echoed in outlets like RT (though not directly in recent searches), such actions are portrayed as Western interference prolonging the conflict. Putin himself claims Russia isn’t opposed to Ukraine joining the EU but insists on military resolutions if demands aren’t met. Critics argue that Europe’s “stand firmly” rhetoric, as reiterated by allies ahead of Trump-Putin summits, prioritizes containing Russia over immediate peace.

Russian Attacks Intensify Amid Peace Rhetoric

While debates rage, the ground reality paints a grim picture. Russia has ramped up aerial assaults, launching over 500 drones and 24 cruise missiles in a single night, targeting Ukrainian cities. A recent missile strike on a Kyiv apartment block killed 22 civilians, including children, leaving survivors like Ihor Maharynsky questioning the point of “strategic targets” in residential areas. “Peace talks with Putin? With this ****?” he lamented, reflecting widespread Ukrainian fury at perceived Western leniency toward Russia.

Zelensky has urged allies for more pressure on Moscow, viewing intensified attacks as proof Russia rejects peace. European responses, such as increased military aid pledges, align with this—Europe has stepped up support this year to offset US aid fluctuations. But is this defensive aid or a recipe for endless war? The New York Times notes European leaders are advocating for a ceasefire as a prerequisite to talks, aiming to protect Ukraine’s interests before any deal.

Security Guarantees vs. Escalation Risks

Proposals for European security guarantees, including potential peacekeeping troops, highlight a proactive stance. The Kremlin opposes this, viewing it as interference. Allies like Germany prioritize a ceasefire first but rule out ground troops for now. This coalition approach, as detailed in Al Jazeera, seeks to present a united front with Ukraine ahead of US-Russia dialogues.

Ultimately, evidence suggests Europe isn’t “pushing” Ukraine into war but responding to Russian aggression with defensive support. However, by rejecting concessions and ramping up aid, it may contribute to a stalemate. As Putin signals a “light at the end of the tunnel” only on his terms, the real push seems to come from Moscow’s unwillingness to compromise.

Mark J Willière
Mark J Willière
Mark J Williere, is a Freelance Journalist based in Brussels, Capital of Belgium and regularly contribute the THINK TANK JOURNAL

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