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Think Tank Analysis: Taiwan’s Ambitious Plan to Close the Drone Gap with China

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In the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the growing military threat from China, Taiwan has launched a strategic initiative to bridge the drone gap with its powerful neighbor. A recent internal briefing report revealed that Taiwan is significantly behind China in drone technology, necessitating urgent measures to enhance its defense capabilities. This article delves into Taiwan’s plan to build a self-sufficient drone supply chain and develop an array of military drones to counter China’s growing aerial superiority.

 

The Drone Gap: Taiwan vs. China

The disparity between Taiwan and China’s drone capabilities is glaring. While Taiwan currently possesses only four types of drones and a fleet size of “hundreds,” China boasts an extensive arsenal of over 50 drone types, numbering in the tens of thousands. These diverse drones, ranging from long-range surveillance aircraft to compact quadcopters, give China a formidable edge in aerial warfare.

 

Taiwan’s Drone National Team Program

In response to the drone gap, Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen initiated the “Drone National Team” program, aimed at collaborating with commercial drone makers, aviation, and aerospace firms to bolster drone production. The government envisions creating over 3,200 military drones by mid-2024, encompassing both mini-drones weighing less than 2 kilograms and larger surveillance craft with a range of 150 kilometers.

 

Enlisting Private Companies in Drone Development

To expedite drone production, Taiwan is for the first time involving private firms in the research and development phase of a weapons program. Nine private companies, including Thunder Tiger Group, have joined the endeavor. The firms bring expertise in aviation, telecommunications, and electronic component production, vital for the drone’s success.

 

Racing in a High-Tech Arms Race

Taiwan’s drone development plan is part of an escalating military rivalry across Asia, where nations are harnessing emerging technologies to gain a decisive advantage in firepower. As China intensifies gray-zone warfare around Taiwan, deploying drones for intimidating operations, Taiwan seeks to strengthen its defense capabilities.

 

Geopolitical Implications

China views Taiwan as an inalienable part of its territory and has increasingly employed drones for gray-zone warfare operations. However, Taiwan’s resolve to defend its democracy and freedom has led to initiatives like the drone program. The U.S. maintains strategic ambiguity on military intervention in case of a Chinese attack on Taiwan, while President Biden has committed to defending Taiwan from invasion.

 

Closing the Gap for Aerial Supremacy

As Taiwan grapples with the drone gap, its quest to bridge the technology divide with China is fueled by the inspiration drawn from Ukraine’s successful use of drones in its war with Russia. The Drone National Team program aims to turn Taiwan into a major exporter of drone components, bolstering self-reliance in confronting Beijing’s military assertiveness.

 

Conclusion:

Taiwan’s pursuit of drone development reflects the intensifying military rivalry in Asia. The “Drone National Team” program aims to strengthen Taiwan’s defense capabilities against a backdrop of increased drone use in modern warfare. As the race for aerial supremacy continues, Taiwan’s resolve to close the drone gap is crucial in maintaining its freedom and security in the region.

Saeed Minhas
Saeed Minhas
Dr. Saeed Ahmed (aka Dr. Saeed Minhas) is an interdisciplinary scholar and practitioner with extensive experience across media, research, and development sectors, built upon years of journalism, teaching, and program management. His work spans international relations, media, governance, and AI-driven fifth-generation warfare, combining academic rigour with applied research and policy engagement. With more than two decades of writing, teaching and program leadership, he serves as the Chief Editor at The Think Tank Journal. X/@saeedahmedspeak.

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