Seven years after the historic Brexit referendum, a recent poll conducted by Deltapoll for the Tony Blair Institute has unveiled intriguing insights into the UK public’s evolving perspective on leaving the European Union. This article delves into the survey findings, highlighting key statistics and outlining proposals from the institute on how the UK can forge an improved post-Brexit relationship with the EU.
Brexit Sentiment and Changing Views:
According to the poll, more than half of the respondents in the UK (50%+) now believe that it was a mistake to leave the EU. Out of the 1,525 adults surveyed in early June, 34% still support the decision to leave, while 18% of Leave voters admit that they now perceive the decision as wrong. Notably, nearly 80% of the participants expressed a desire for a closer relationship with the EU in the future.
Youthful Influence on Brexit Perception:
The survey reveals a significant factor in the shifting public opinion is the attitudes of individuals aged between 18 and 24 who were previously ineligible to vote in the 2016 referendum. This demographic, largely considering the decision to leave as incorrect, has contributed to the overall change in sentiment. The report authors, Anton Spisak and Christos Tsoulakis, highlight the impact of younger generations entering the electorate.
This alignment could lay the groundwork for negotiations on closer regulatory cooperation, specifically focusing on sanitary and phytosanitary measures.
Proposals for an Improved Post-Brexit Relationship:
The Tony Blair Institute emphasizes the need for the UK government to undertake strategic measures to enhance its relationship with the EU. The think tank recommends voluntary alignment with EU regulations on goods, including product rules and food safety standards, as an initial step.
This alignment could lay the groundwork for negotiations on closer regulatory cooperation, specifically focusing on sanitary and phytosanitary measures.
Furthermore, the report suggests linking the UK and EU’s emissions trading systems, establishing a reciprocal exchange program for young people, and enhancing mobility for business professionals.
Additionally, the institute proposes the creation of a strategic pillar within the existing trade agreement, serving as the foundation for joint frameworks on foreign policy and defense.
The latest poll reveals a divided sentiment within the UK regarding Brexit, with a majority favoring a closer relationship with the EU
The Importance of Constructive Negotiation:
The poll results indicate a strong majority of the British public recognizing the need for an improved future relationship with the EU. Anton Spisak, head of political leadership at the institute, emphasizes the importance of a carefully considered strategic plan for any future British government aiming to enhance ties with the EU.
He stresses the necessity of making a clear-eyed offer to the EU, rather than relying solely on diplomatic niceties, citing examples of deeper trade arrangements and regulatory recognition with other nations.
Conclusion:
The latest poll reveals a divided sentiment within the UK regarding Brexit, with a majority favoring a closer relationship with the EU. The survey findings provide valuable insights into changing public opinion and highlight the influence of younger generations.
The proposals put forth by the Tony Blair Institute aim to guide the UK towards an improved post-Brexit relationship, encompassing regulatory alignment, emissions trading cooperation, mobility facilitation, and joint frameworks on foreign policy and defense.
As the UK navigates its future path, a constructive negotiation strategy will be essential for fostering a mutually beneficial relationship with the EU.
